Of those starting at 10/1 or lower since 2006...
- 29% (6/21) have won
- 62% (13/21) have placed at least
- £1235 profit to £100 level stakes - 59% yield
In recent season the shrewd yard have been sent a lot more 2/3yos and have enjoyed much success with them.
The findings have proved what I have always believed, Stuart Williams is a decent trainer and if a horse shows any ability he will find a race for it. Many of those beaten on handicap bow went on to score on the 2nd or 3rd handicap start.
The market is key with this yard, although one or two handicap debutants have run well at big prices, those that figure prominently in the market fair a great deal better. Obviously this yard know exactly where they are with their 3yos.
However many punters and odds compilers try to second-guess this yard and I believe that a few gambles on the yard's horses have nothing to do with connections at all.
"Fancied" handicap debutants however do seem to run consistently well.
One 3yo handicap debutant today: Sadaska, in the 4.15 at Pontefract who is currently best priced 7/1.
She looks to hold a major form chance also. Looks well treated on her debut effort, and with improvement for this longer trip expected, could be a blot on the handicap.
She is by Fantastic Light, out of a mare that has produced
Behego - six time winner from 1m6f to 2m3f
Hawbridge King - winner from 1m6f to 2m4f
Strobe (full brother) - five time winner from 1m4f to 2m4f
Today she steps up from 7f (twice) and 10f (LTO) to the stiff 1m4f at Pontefract.
If Sadaska doesn't continue the trend today you will get it all back very soon over further.
Sadaska went off at 16/1 so therefore did not qualify as a "fancied" handicap debutant.
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