Tuesday 30 June 2009

Tuesday 30th June

Brighton
3.30
Lady Florence 0.5pt win - WON 7/2 (adv)

5.00
Rocket Rob 1pt win - 3rd

5.30
Espy 0.5pt E/W - 3rd 4/1

All bets proofed to the Racing Post.

Despite the firm going it paid to come across to the near side rail at Brighton, the result of recent watering.

Lady Florence had ran into two well handicapped types in Mountain Cat and Hypnotic recently so looked to hold massive form chances in this seller. She had yet to win a race but she had never contested a race this weak when in form and she was worth chancing. She ran out a comfortable 3l winner.

Drifting off the rail cost Rocket Rob any chance he held in the 5.00.

Espy travelled well enough in the 5.30 but was no match for the front two come the final furlong. He doesn't look the same horse this season but his last two efforts have been encouraging

Despite looking in trouble at halfway, Aldaado ran out an easy winner of the 3.15 at Hamilton. He is progressing nicely and there should be more to come when upped in trip.

A combination of getting hampered and inexperience cost Call To Arms making a winning debut in the 7.00 at Thirsk. He is nailed on for a maiden.

Monday 29th June

Wolverhampton
2.30
Two Turtle Doves 0.25pt E/W - 6th

5.00
Capucci 0.25pt E/W - 2nd 10/1 (adv)

Pontefract
4.15
Sadaska 0.25pt E/W - unplaced
The Quiet Genius 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

5.45
Kipchak 0.5pt win - unplaced

Windsor
8.10
Rio Guru 0.25pt E/W - 2nd 16/1 (adv)
Blow Hole 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

8.40
Course De Diamante 0.5pt win - 5th

9.10
Tignello 0.5pt win - 5th
Pauls Pet 0.25pt E/W - 3rd 50/1 (adv)

Musselburgh
8.25
Solas Alainn 1.5pt win - 3rd
Mooted 0.5pt win - WON 3/1 (adv)

8.55
Carpe Diem 1pt win - 7th
Al Wasef 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

9.25
Street Spirit 0.25pt E/W - 7th

All bets proofed to the Racing Post.

A extremely busy day.

I feared the 6f was too sharp for Two Turtles Doves in the 2.30 and that did turn out to be the case. It was a fair performance under the circumstances, Seb Sanders was motionless once it was clear she couldn't win. A similar race over further with a couple of pound off for this run (hopefully) could see her go well at a price next time out.

Capucci looked all over the winner in the 5.00 but wouldn't go by Major Phil. Well handicapped but not the toughest in a finish. Definitely an "in-running horse".

Sadaska (4.15 Pontefract) was very weak in the market prior to her handicap debut which is a big negative given her stable. She showed some ability though and I will keep my eye on her over this trip and further.

Kipchak went off too quick in the 5.45

On to Windsor where Racing Hero was a ridiculously short price for the 8.10. I looked elsewhere for value with Rio Guru and Blow Hole. Rio Guru ran her usual solid race (2nd) but was no match for Resurge. Blow Hole was beaten a long way, he left the Noseda yard for just 9,000gns late last year and has clearly lost some ability.

Course De Diamante was disappointing on her handicap debut in the 8.40. She still looks plenty green though and I wouldn't write her off just yet.

Tignello was again a beaten fav in the 9.10, I have no idea what happened inside the last furlong when he was heavily eased by Ryan Moore. He is fast running out of chances. Pauls Pet looked to be slowly coming to hand and looked ridiculously over priced at 50/1 (early birds). He kept on nicely for 3rd to land another juicy E/W bet.

The 8.25 at Musselburgh looked a match between Solas Alainn and Mooted. Neither are totally straightforward but both looked a cut above their rivals here. Solas Alainn took them along before weakening and it was Mooted that come there travelling two out and this time he went through with his effort to score well.

Carpe Diem was give little chance to show in the 8.55, held up way off the pace.

Street Spirit ran ok in the 9.25 he has shown enough to suggest he can find a small race. Trade Price and George Adamson are the others to take from the race.

Monday 29 June 2009

Prophetable Statistics #1

#1 Stuart Williams - "fancied" 3yo handicap debutants

Of those starting at 10/1 or lower since 2006...
  • 29% (6/21) have won
  • 62% (13/21) have placed at least
  • £1235 profit to £100 level stakes - 59% yield
Average price of 21 runners were 9/2 so plenty of E/W opportunities.


In recent season the shrewd yard have been sent a lot more 2/3yos and have enjoyed much success with them.

The findings have proved what I have always believed, Stuart Williams is a decent trainer and if a horse shows any ability he will find a race for it. Many of those beaten on handicap bow went on to score on the 2nd or 3rd handicap start.

The market is key with this yard, although one or two handicap debutants have run well at big prices, those that figure prominently in the market fair a great deal better. Obviously this yard know exactly where they are with their 3yos.

However many punters and odds compilers try to second-guess this yard and I believe that a few gambles on the yard's horses have nothing to do with connections at all.

"Fancied" handicap debutants however do seem to run consistently well.

One 3yo handicap debutant today: Sadaska, in the 4.15 at Pontefract who is currently best priced 7/1.

She looks to hold a major form chance also. Looks well treated on her debut effort, and with improvement for this longer trip expected, could be a blot on the handicap.

She is by Fantastic Light, out of a mare that has produced

Behego - six time winner from 1m6f to 2m3f
Hawbridge King - winner from 1m6f to 2m4f
Strobe (full brother) - five time winner from 1m4f to 2m4f

Today she steps up from 7f (twice) and 10f (LTO) to the stiff 1m4f at Pontefract.

If Sadaska doesn't continue the trend today you will get it all back very soon over further.

Sunday 28th June

Salisbury
2.35
Seventh Cavalry 0.25pt E/W - 2nd 14/1

5.20
Whotsit 0.25pt E/W - 2nd 12/1 (adv)

Windsor
4.35
El Loco Uno 0.5pt win - unplaced

Curragh
4.20
Rockhampton 0.25pt E/W - unplaced
Drumbeat 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

All bets proofed to Racing Post.

Regardless of the result at Epsom, Team O'Brien got their tactics wrong. It was a totally different story here though. Pace/tactics were spot on and it worked perfectly for Fame And Glory who ran out an easy 5l winner.

Although Seventh Cavalry has yet to get his head in front (beaten in 11 maidens), he is fairly consistent so the handicapper has been pretty fair dropping him 20lbs over the past 12 months. If his mark keeps slipping he will eventually find a race, I thought it could be this one (2.35). He ran well and not for the first time in his career looked the winner. He couldn't quite get to Merrymadcap though but at 14/1 he was a decent E/W bet.

Alqaffay was a fair 2nd in the maiden at 4.45. The fact that his powerful stable have persevered with him should not be ignored. Success in handicaps awaits.

I took 33/1 about Whotsit LTO (backed down to 10/1) but the horse was given no chance due to a poor ride from his inexperienced pilot. I felt he would've been in the shake up with a clear run so off a lower mark here he could not be ignored. Again well backed, 12/1 (morning) to 5/1 (SP), he looked all over the winner (1/16 in running), this time getting a positive ride from Laura Pike, but was cruelly collared late on.

Sunday 28 June 2009

Saturday 27th June

Newcastle
3.10
Buddhist Monk 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

3.45
Boy Blue 0.25pt E/W - 3rd 20/1 (adv)

Windsor
4.40
Divisnky 0.25pt E/W - 2nd 14/1 (adv)
Bountiful Bay 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

5.10
Kindest 0.5pt win - 3rd
Candy Ride 0.5pt win - 2nd

Newmarket
5.05
Another Try 0.25pt E/W - 6th

Doncaster
8.10
Wild Rhubarb 0.5pt win - 3rd

8.45
Fancy Footsteps 0.25pt win - 3rd 12/1 (adv)
Laura's Lady 0.25pt win - 4th
Milton Of Campsie 0.25pt E/W - 5th

All bets proofed to Racing Post.

In the 2.40 at Chester, Act Of Kalinisi just failed to get up on handicap debut. It was a fine effort from off the pace around here and compensation awaits.

In the Pretty Polly at the Curragh, Look Here found 10f too sharp at this level. She is a genuine G1 horse, but at 1m4f.

Tony Culhane stole the Northumerland Plate off 16 brain-dead jockeys. Plenty in behind are worth another chance, notebly Hendersyde and Electrolyser. Meethaaq (tailed off) was coltish for the 3rd time this season - he needs a trip to the vets.

Boy Blue (3.45) was mentioned on this blog back in April when he took my eye behind Billy Dane. He put in another solid performance after that before disappointing around an unsuitable Chester. Back on a course that suits and off a 1lb lower mark I though he held every chance here. I was amazed to see him priced up 20/1 outsider of the field in the morning and with 9 going to post he looked a fair E/W selection. He battled all the way to the line but was beaten less than a length into 3rd place.

The topically named Sunshine Always just failed in the 5.25 and must find a handicap soon.

At Newmarket, Another Try's winning run came too an end, he didn't really see out this 7f trip.

Dvinsky ran a solid race in the 4.40 at Windsor, he is in form at the moment and looks well treated on the turf.

Candy Ride and Kindest were a little bit disappointing (2nd & 5th) in the 5.10 but are worth another chance in their own age group.

Fancy Footsteps put in a more encouraging effort in the 8.45 at Doncaster. She is on the way back. Laura's Lady ran ok and Milton Of Campsie ran well for a long way at a price.

Saturday 27 June 2009

Friday 26th June

Doncaster
3.25
Without Prejudice 0.5pt win - 3rd
The Galloping Shoe 0.5pt win - 4th

5.05
Unbelievable Jeff 0.5pt win - 4th
She's In The Money 0.5pt win - 6th
Volito 0.5pt win - 7th

Newcastle
7.25
Cheveton 0.5pt E/W - unplaced
Hamish McGonagall 0.25pt E/W - 3rd 10/1 (adv)

8.55
Mark Of Meydan 1pt E/W - WON 12/1 (adv)

Without Prejudice and The Galloping Shoe ran solid races without threatening when 3rd and 4th in the 3.25 at Doncaster. I still think there are races to be won with this pair and I'm not losing faith yet.

I thought the The Scorching Wind was too short for the 5.05 but he took the race with relative east. Unbelievable Jeff ran ok from out the weights and I would imagine he will find a race when allowed to run off his true mark. She's In The Money dropped away quickly on handicap debut and Volito, who has been disappointing since winning, was well back in 7th.

Mark Johnston had a 1-2 in the 7.45 at Chester. Alpha Glen looks a decent progressive type and Easter Aria continues to hold her form.

They split into three groups for the Gosforth Park Sprint at Newcastle. As expected Hamish McGonagall ran his best race of the season, he will be winning again soon. Cheveton put in a rare unplaced effort but he stayed far side, the group that was most disadvantaged. Indian Trail probably deserves plenty of credit for "winning" the far side and finishing 5th overall.

The confident NAP of the day, Mark Of Meydan, was a horse I knew was about to catch fire. Was badly hampered when carrying the money at Ponty LTO but made no mistakes in the 8.55 when finally allowed to show his form. At 12/1 (morning and opening show) he was possibly one of the best value bets this season. I believe there is more to come.

Thursday 25th June

Kempton
3.40
Set The Trend 0.5pt E/W - 2nd 11/2 (adv)

4.40
Ostaadi 1pt win - 2nd

5.40
Tender Charm 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

Newcastle
5.30
Go Alone 0.5pt E/W - 6th
Seldom 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

Set The Trend ran another solid race, this time when up in the grade in the 3.40 at Kempton. The front running Cloudy Start was gifted the race so Set The Trend deserves plenty of credit for pulling clear of the 3rd. He is undoubtedly better than his handicap rating, although the handicapper may act after this.

Ostaadi was 2nd again in the 4.40. I'm not sure if this horse is quirky or just green, I will continue to monitor as I have the feeling he has a big performance in him when it all clicks.

Tender Charm didn't show in the 5.40.

Go Alone was slightly disappointing on his handicap debut in the 5.30 at Newcastle, but he was positioned wide after losing his pitch and is worth another chance.

Wednesday 24th June

Salisbury
1.35
King Of Wands 1pt win - WON 11/4 (adv)

4.55
L'Hirondell 0.25pt E/W - 4th

Carlisle
3.05 Shadowtime 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

4.10
King Fingal 0.5pt E/W - unplaced
Dazzling Light 0.25pt win - 5th

4.40
Off Chance 0.5pt win - 4th

Bath
9.10
Style Icon 0.5pt E/W - 6th
Espy 0.5pt E/W - 2nd 10/1 (adv)

Kempton
7.50
Deraaya 0.5pt win - unplaced
Lady Amberlini 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

8.50
Uncle Fred 0.5pt win - 2nd
Penperth 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

The day started brightly but there was little to cheer about after.

King Of Wands is a horse I'd had one eye on since last season and he is no beginning to show his potential. He looked ahead of the handicapper and was well backed prior to winning the 1.35 at Salisbury. A typical John Dunlop progressive 3yo.

L'Hirondelle looked ill at ease in the 4.55. Possibly due to a combination of the firm ground and the first time eye-shields - he seemed to dislike both.

In the 3.05 Carlisle, Shadowtime looked to hold a decent chance to gain compensation for some recent unlucky efforts. He was front rank throughout but weakened badly, he looked like a tired horse and perhaps his recent exploits have taken their toll.

King Fingal and Dazzling Light put him puzzling flat displays in the 4.10, they are both better than this.

Off Chance travelled well in the 4.40 but found little off the bridle and could only finish 4th. The 9lb hike for her recent win stopped her progress, although she may fare better back in her own age group.

At typical competitive card at Kempton. Running from out the weights was too much to ask of Lady Amberlini in the 7.50. She will do better when allowed to run off her actual mark, I believe she is well handicapped.

Dance The Star was given poor ride by Jamie Spencer in the 8.20. He was motionless at the rear of the field at the start of the home straight then was short of room briefly. He did well to finish a close 4th and will be winning again soon. He looked a decent prospect last season and David Simcock has always liked him.

Jim Crowly gave Uncle Fred an odd ride in the 8.50. He gave him plenty to do and challenged widest of all, almost scraping the near rail which is usually unheard of. Under the circumstances Uncle Fred run a blinder to finish 2nd, running on well from "out the picture". He is improving and is still ahead of the handicapper.

In the 9.10 at Bath, David Probert was almost statuesque on Style Icon, he is worth another chance. Espy put in some decent late work to snatch 2nd, he is finally coming to hand this season.

Wednesday 24 June 2009

Tuesday 23rd June

Brighton
3.00
Hypnotic 0.5pt E/W - WON 5/1 (adv)

Newbury
8.30
Burza 0.5pt win - WON 9/1 (adv)

9.00
Triple Dream 0.5pt E/W - 2nd 10/1 (adv)

Monday 22 June 2009

Sunday 21st June

Pontefract
2.40
Sawab 0.25pt E/W - 4th

3.10
William Blake 2pts win - 3rd

Monday 22nd June

Wolverhampton
3.30
Pipers Piping 0.5pt win - unplaced

4.30
Global Village 1.5pt win - 3rd
Great Knight 1pt win - WON 9/1
Triumphant Welcome 0.5pt win - unplaced

Lingfield
4.45
Rose Bloom 0.5pt win - unplaced
Love In The Park 0.5pt win - WON 5/1 (adv)

Windsor
6.40
Yvonne Evelyn 0.25pt E/W - 6th
Aprils Daughter 0.25pt E/W - 3rd 33/1

7.40
Devil You Know 0.5pt win - 2nd

Chepstow
7.50
I'm In The Pink 1.5pt win - 4th

8.50
Signora Frasi 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

9.20
Foreign Investment 0.5pt E/W - 3rd 14/1

All bets proofed to Racing Post

+8.44pts on the day

Pipers Piping was a little disappointing in the Wolverhampton claimer at 3.30. That said he raced up with the generous early gallop and all those that did, suffered.

I couldn't see anything winning the sprint apart from Great Knight, Global Village and Triumphant Welcome. As mentioned in a previous post, Great Knight ran a cracker LTO. He fared best of those who ran up with the lunatic gallop and tracking a more sensible gallop here he ran out a ready winner, the 9/1 SP was a pleasant surprise. Global Village is well handicapped and will win a handicap over 7f very soon. Triumphant Welcome needs fibresand or give to show her best.

At Lingfield, Love In The Park looked to have a great opportunity to get off the mark in the 4.45. She was well supported before Jack Mitchell gave her a confident ride to victory. She's no world beater but there should be more to come.

At Windsor (6.40) I felt both April's Daughter and Yvonne Evelyn were over priced and well handicapped on best. The latter ran as if needing the run but the former put in a much improved effort to run on well for 3rd at 33/1.

Despite finishing 2nd, Devil You Know was arguably the best horse at the weights in the 7.40. He is progressing nicely.

I'm In The Pink was a little disappointing at Chepstow (7.50) - found nothing after travelling well.

Foreign Investment ran well in the last, I'm certain there is a race in her. Will go close in the grade very soon.

Sunday 21 June 2009

Ascot Aftermath

Forget Yeats, Ghanaati and Canford Cliffs. Impressive as they were they're unlikely to represent value next time out, and I doubt they will make us rich from now to season end.

What about the less obvious promising performances in behind? Below are a few horses who ran better than the formlines suggest. Hopefully these will gain compensation in the near future and due to the fact that the majority (odds compilers included) often get race reading wrong, these are likely to be over priced when next seen.

Xtension (Coventry)
Plenty of good late work, passed all but one of the field to finish 2nd.

Rakaan (Coventry)
Although his formlines suggest he is consistent (223), he is actually improving with every run. Slaughtered his Goodwood conqueror (Fremont) here.

Always Bold (Ascot Handicap)
Did well to finish 8th after losing his position badly inside the final mile. In good heart over hurdles recently and remains of interest on either code.

Gallagher (Jersey)
Ran a blinder to finish 4th on his first start in over 8 months, and even threatened at the one pole. A quality horse and a decent prize is on the horizon if placed accordingly.

Lovelace (Hunt Cup)
Those on the far side held little chance and it was a great performance to finish 1st of that group (9th overall) after an unclear passage. Is in fine form this season and well treated - only 2lb higher than when unlucky in the Bunbury last year.

Crown (Queen Mary)
Taken off her feet early but showed good speed to cut trough plenty of the field mid-race.

Tawaabb (Norfolk)
Travelled well despite seeing plenty of daylight. Progressing nicely.

Nosedive (Norfolk)
One of the most inexperienced in the field and it showed. Got behind early and found plenty of trouble. Flew when in the clear to finish 4th.

Diamond Johnny G (Norfolk)
Like Nosedive had just the one run under his belt prior to this (2nd in Lingfield maiden). Again he shaped with promise, finishing his race well in 6th place.

Highland Glen (King George V)
There were many ill-judged Ryan Moore rides to choose from last week but this ranks highly. Ran on well into 6th place after given too much to do.

Brunston (King George V)
Did well to finish 9th considering how keen he was early on.

Native Ruler (King Edward VII)
Did best of those who travelled up with the lightning quick gallop. Still bang there until the final furlong before unsurprisingly weakening into 7th.

Rainbow View (Coronation)
2nd best horse on the day for me and this was a most encouraging run.

Redford (Buckingham Palace)
Travelled better than most before finishing 3rd. This was his best effort on fast going and it proves his well being. Surprised the handicapper still has him as a sub-100 horse and looks sure to find a big prize when the juice is in the ground.

Multheeb (Buckingham Palace)
By far the most inexperienced in the line-up and that may have been his undoing. Carried left inside the last but kept on well for 4th place. A decent effort against these battle-hardy types and, as mentioned previously on this blog, is a nice prospect.

Markab (Wokingham)
Like many 7f horses before him, Markab ran a blinder in the Wokingham. Arguably unlucky in 4th as for the first time this week the near side rail was not the place to be. The far side ground when said to be quicker, fuelling watering rumours, and all the other pace horses were drawn, or switched to, the far side. As a result Markab raced alone for the entire race but looked the winner until the far side gained the upper hand late on.

Crackentorp (Duke of Edinburgh)
Suffered a bruised foot two days before the race and despite connections stating he had recovered I have my doubts. He is much better than he showed on Saturday.

Newmarket, Goodwood, York........here we come!

Saturday 20th June


Royal Ascot
5.00
Crackentorp 1pt E/W - unplaced

Ayr
3.25
Dolly Penrose 0.75pt E/W - 2nd 4/1 (adv)

Newmarket
3.50
La Zamora 0.5pt win - WON 9/1
Lenny Bee 0.5pt win - 6th

5.30
Watson's Bay 0.5pt E/W - 4th

Redcar
4.10
Ingleby Lady 0.25pt E/W - WON 10/1 (adv)

5.55
Exciteable 0.5pt E/W - 3rd 7/1 (adv)

Lingfield
6.20
Son Of My Heart 0.5pt win - 3rd
Stormy Summer 0.25pt win - unplaced
Sponge 0.25pt win - unplaced

Haydock
6.35
Hippolytus 0.5pt win - WON 7/2 (adv)
Princess Rainbow 0.5pt win - 3rd

8.05
Never Ending Tale 0.5pt win - unplaced

A very pleasing day away from Ascot. At Ayr, Dolly Penrose travelled like the winner before finishing 2nd in the 3.25. She isn't the easiest to win with but is well handicapped and will continue to run consistently. She will do better on a soft surface as it negates the speed of possible rivals.

At Newmarket, La Zamora bolted up in the 3.50 at the very generous price of 9/1. She looked unlucky on her handicap debut previously and made no mistake when allowed to show here best here. Lenny Bee in behind has used up all his chances.

Watson's Bay continues to run consistently and was 4th in the 5.30. He doesn't find as much as expected off the bridle so he needs some assistance from the saddle. You don't get that with Jimmy Quim (not a typo).

At Redcar I felt that Ingleby Lady (twice a losing bet for us) was worth another chance. She suffered for the lack of pace on her previous start and, like her stablemate La Zamora, she was allowed to show her form here and didn't disappoint.

Excitebale was subject of a huge gamble for the 5.55. He ran well enough on seasonal debut to finish a close 3rd, he may have been at disadvantage running alone on the near rail for most of the race.

There are races to be won with Son Of My Heart and Stormy Summer who were 3rd and 8th in the 6.20 at Lingfield.

At Haydock Hippolytus appreciated the step up to 10f, winning the 6.35. The lack of pace would not have been ideal so there is a chance this performance will be under rated. Princess Rainbow back in 3rd will appreciate more of a test.

Friday 19th June

Royal Ascot
4.20
Stone Of Scone 1.5pt win - unplaced
Moonquake 0.25pt win - 2nd
Khateeb 0.25pt win - unplaced

5.30
Multheeb 1pt E/W - 4th 10/1 (adv)
Mr Macattack 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

Redcar
5.05
King Pin 0.5pt E/W - WON 11/2 (adv)
Moonage Daydream 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

See "Ascot Aftermeth" post for Ascot races.

King Pin had shown enough in his short career to suggest a handicap win wasn't too far away and he landed a gamble in the 5.05 at Redcar. I like this consistent horse and there could be another race in him. In behind, Moonage Daydream didn't build on his promsing effort at Beverley, although may fare better over slightly shorter.

Saturday 20 June 2009

Thursday 18th June

Royal Ascot
2.30
Tawaabb 0.25pt E/W - 3rd 14/1 (adv)
Diamond Johnny G 0.25pt E/W - 6th 50/1 (adv)

3.45
Veracity 0.5pt E/W - pulled up

4.20
Big Bay 0.25pt E/W - unplaced
Mutamaashi 0.25pt E/W - unplaced
Uniquely Poised 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

4.55
Monitor Closely 0.5pt E/W - 3rd 8/1 (adv)
Spring Of Fame 0.25pt E/W - 7th

5.30
Lasso The Moon 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

Warwick
4.45
Diego Rivera 1pt win - unplaced
Highgate Cat 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

5.20
Miss Pelling 1pt win - WON 9/2 (adv)

Leicester
7.10
Mattamia 1pt win - WON 9/4

7.40
Garter Knight 2pts win - 2nd

8.10
Cotswold 1pt win - 3rd

Musselburgh
7.00
That'll Do Nicely 1pt win - 4th
Merrion Tiger o.5pt win - 3rd

7.30
Ainia 2pts win - WON 6/4 (adv)

See "Ascot Aftermath" post for Ascot races.

At Warwick Miss Pelling got off the mark for the season. This came on the back of two solid efforts so far and there could be more to come from here throughout the season.

At Leicester, Mattamia continued to progress, running away with the 7.10. He has been a real money spinner for the yard this year and is improving all the time.

Garter Knight was a real dark horse on the list and I was surprised to see him lining up in the seller 7.40. He looked all over the winner but was out-battled in a finish. Micky Fenton could've been stronger perhaps so I will give the horse another chance in this grade, or off his lenient mark in handicap.

Coltswold ran flat in the 8.10 and hasn't progresses as expected.

That'll Do Nicely travelled well in the 7.00 Musselburgh but failed to pick up.

Ainia looked a handicap good thing for the 7.30, she did the business after being backed from 6/4 into 4/5. Although the winning margin wasn't huge I wouldn't rule out more success.

Wednesday 17th June

Royal Ascot
4.20
Royal Power 0.25pt E/W - unplaced
Light From Mars 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

4.55
Crown 0.25pt E/W - 8th

5.30
Photographic 1pt E/W - unplaced
Say No Now 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

Hamilton
2.55
Street Spirit 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

3.30
Jenny Potts 0.25pt E/W - WON 13/2 (adv)

4.45
Istiqdaam 0.25pt E/W - 4th

Kempton
6.10
Falcon Rock 1.5pt win - 2nd

7.10
Halstatt 1pt win - 5th

8.40
Lucky Dancer 0.25pt E/W - 7th

Ripon
6.50
Gioacchino 0.5pt E/W - 2nd 8/1 (adv)

8.20
Liberally 0.25pt E/W - 4th

8.50
Grey Command 0.5pt win - 4th

Gallagher ran a fine race on seasonal debut to finished 4th in the Jersey, there looks to be a decent prize in this one.

Lovelace deserves plenty of credit for running so well in the Hunt Cup.

Crown picked up nicely mid-race after being badly outpaced in the Queen Mary.

Over at Hamilton, Street Spirit was disappointing but may be worth another chance.

Istiqdaam ran well in the 4.45 at a big price, his shrewd yard will no doubt find a race for him in the north over the summer.

Onto the evening cards where Falcon Rock (6.10 Kempton) was an unlucky 2nd for the 2nd time in handicap company. Was given far too much to do by LPB and although he is 100% straightforward (by Montjeu) he will find a race soon.

Halstatt and Lucky Dancer were disappointing later on the card.

At Ripon, Gioacchino looked to hold a major chance in the seller and looked all over the winner until getting collared late on. There is definitely more races to be won with this horse - perhaps back at Southwell.

Tuesday 16th June

Royal Ascot
3.05
Fleeting Spirit 0.5pt win - 2nd

4.20
Canford Cliffs 1pt win - WON 2/1 (adv)

Thirsk
5.10
Atlantic Beach 1pt win - 4th

5.45
Half A Crown 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

Yarmouth
7.30
Global Village 0.5pt E/W - 2nd 6/1
Superior Duchess 0.25pt E/W - 6th

8.30
Howard 1.5pt win - 5th

Monday 15th June

Carlisle
4.45
Shadowtime 0.5pt win - 2nd
Carpe Diem 0.5pt win - 3rd

Warwick
9.10
Trade Centre 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

Windsor
6.00
Plaisterer 1pt win - 2nd
Seasonal Cross 0.5pt win - 4th

7.30
The Galloping Show 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

9.00
Drum Major 1pt win - 5th
Kristallo 0.25pt E/W - 4th

Sunday 14 June 2009

Saturday 13th June

Sandown
1.50
Thief Of Time 0.25pt E/W - 5th
Highkingofireland 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

York
2.05 HillviewBoy 0.25pt E/W - 3rd 9/1

2.35
Acrostic 0.5pt E/W - 4th 7/1
Red Jade 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

3.45
Sovereign Remedy 0.5pt E/W - 6th
Changing The Guard 0.25pt E/W - WON 14/1 (adv)

5.25
Eastern Hills 0.25pt E/W - 3rd 100/1 (adv)
Leonid Glow 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

Hillview Boy (2.05 York) ran a fine race trying to make all. He looks on a fair mark and should find a handicap soon enough.

Acrostic travelled well before finishing 4th in the 2.35.

Changing The Guard has been very consistent since being added to my list. He needs to be produced late so as I suggested a few months back, he is staying well handicapped. It was decent performance to win the 3.45 at 14/1. He has been most profitable this season.

Sovereign Remedy showed enough in 4th to suggest a similar race would be within his grasp.

Eastern Hills was ridiculously over priced in the morning at 100/1 (Stan James) for the 5.25. He ran a fine race to finish 3rd, staying on well to the line. The 4yo is now trained by John Wainright after leaving Mark Johnston he looks well treated on last season's form.

Saturday 13 June 2009

Friday 12th June

Sandown
3.50
Imaam 0.5pt E/W - 5th

4.25
Mubrook 0.5pt win - unplaced
Shamali 0.5pt win - 3rd
Mr Hichens 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

4.55
Peace Corps 0.5pt E/W - unplaced

York
3.25
Caerlaverock 0.5pt win - unplaced
Herrera 0.25pt E/W - 5th

5.05
Grey Command 0.25pt E/W - 7th

Goodwood
6.20
Harlestone Snake 2pts win - WON 2/1 (adv)

7.25
Wellington Square 0.25pt E/W - WON 12/1 => 5/1
Ivory Lace 0.25pt E/W - 3rd 14/1

8.00
Eastern Aria 1pt win - WON 5/1
Red Suede Shoes 0.5pt win - 6th

Chepstow
7.35
Dark Quest 1pt win - 5th

8.45
Cape Melody 0.5pt win - WON 15/2
Lord Fidelio 0.5pt win - unplaced

9.15
Manere Bay 0.5pt E/W - 3rd 8/1
This Ones For Eddy 0.25pt E/W - 8th

Day P/L
Bets 11
Winners 5
Staked 13pts
Returned 20.94pts
P/L +7.94pts

It was all about the evening cards.

Harlestone Snake was very unlucky LTO and made no mistake in a maiden handicap at Goodwood (6.20). Although an easy winner here it was a poor race and hopefully the handicapper will take this into account. And 8lb hike or less would see Harlestone Snake still the right side of the handicapper.

Wellington Square (7.25) kept up Hughie Morrison's good form winning nicely after attracting support. A much improved effort on his seasonal debut and this was much more like his best form last season. Ivory Lace continues to hold her form back in 3rd.

Eastern Aria deserved here success in the 8.00. She is well treated on grass and could find another race on the green stuff soon.

Cape Melody won nicely in the 8.45 at Chepstow and more success looks likely.

Manere Bay did well to finish 3rd in the 9.15 after a slow start and looks a cert future winner off this mark.

Thursday 11 June 2009

Thursday 11th June

Nottingham
1.25
Volito 1pt win - 7th

2.30
Murcar 1pt win - unplaced

Newbury
2.10
Carbon Hoofprint 0.25pt E/W - 2nd 20/1 (adv)
Fantasy Land 0.25pt E/W - unplaced
Illusive Spirit 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

3.50
Kinetix 1.5pt win - 2nd

4.55
Devil To Pay 1pt win - 2nd

Yarmouth
3.25
Makaam 1pt win - unplaced

4.35
Style Icon 0.5pt E/W - 5th
Big Boom 0.25pt - 2nd 50/1 (adv)

A frustrating day with four selections finishing 2nd.

Volito ran well on the wrong side in the 1.25 at Nottingham, he can find another race when back in his own age group.

Jamie Spencer took over on Murcar who had finally got off the mark in handicap company previously. Murcar was an easy winner prior to this, always travelling well in front rank before kicking for home three out. However Jamie as his own ideas about every horse it seems, despite the animal looking so impressive when plenty of use was made of him, he decided to hold the horse up in the 2.30. The horse was never happy and ran abysmally.

Carbon Hoofprint in consistent and well treated on maiden form. He ran a solid race in the Newbury 2.10. He will find a race soon.

Devil To Pay still looked ahead of the handicapper after a recent Goodwood win and he travelled well in the 4.55. However he could only finish 2nd to Strathcal and I think this was simply a case of running into a better treated rival from an in-form yard. Devil To Pay should continue to pay his way over the summer.

Plenty of the Yarmouth form should be torn out the book due to the adverse going, the result of a poor decision to water prior to a heavy downpour. Racing was delayed for an hour due to flooding. This put pay to any chance Makaam had and his run in the 3.25 is best ignored.

The same can be said about Style Icon (4.35) who actually ran well in 5th considering. This was perhaps the most frustrating race of them all as Big Boom, backed down from 50/1 in the morning to 8/1 on-course, finished 2nd. Racing alone due to his stall one draw the only reason for defeat. He was massively over priced on the early birds and this was a fine effort from outside the weights. He may find compensation in the future but for me this really was the one that got away.

In the 8.20 at Haydock, Sunshine Always and Foreign Investment were independently unlucky. Both clipped heels with different horses when going well. More to come from both.

Wednesday 10th June

Beverley
3.30
Cheers For Thea 0.25pt E/W - 3rd
Shaylee 0.25pt E/W - 4th

4.00
Carpe Diem 0.25pt E/W - 2nd 6/1

Brighton
3.20
Theocritus 1pt win - WON 2/1

4.20
Pipers Piping 0.5pt win - 3rd

Haydock
Tanto Faz 1pt win - 3rd
Capucci 0.5pt win - 6th

Kempton
6.20
Desert Kiss 0.5pt E/W - WON 6/1 (adv)

7.20
Devil You Know 0.75pt win - WON 9/2 (adv)
Lochan Mor 0.75pt win - 2nd
Trip Switch 0.5pt win - unplaced

8.20
Priti Fabulous 1pt win - unplaced
Elisiario 0.5pt win - 6th

8.50
Ostaadi 1pt win - 2nd
Gilded Age 0.5pt win - 4th

Hamilton
8.10
Solas Alainn 0.5pt E/W - unplaced

9.10
Applaud 1pt win - 3rd

All bets proofed to Racing Post

As I opposed the odds-on Joe Jo Star in the 3.30 at Beverley, I was a little disappointed that I didn't find the winner when he was beaten.

Carpe Diem looked a decent E/W bet for the 4.00, he travelled well before finishing 2nd - he was no match for the winner.

Theocritus a recent selling winner at Brighton, followed up with another plating with at the same track. It's a shame he is a bleeder as he has plenty of ability.

Pipers Piping ran a cracker in the 4.20 to finish 3rd on the "wrong" side of the track.

Capucci and Tanto Faz were disappointing at Haydock, they will be more at home on easier going.

Walter Swinburn booked Andrea Atzenzi for the apprentice handicap at Kempton and it was no surprise to see Desert Kiss come home in front. He pulled nicely clear inside the last.

Devil You Know is progressing nicely and he took the 7.20, Lochan Mor was back in 2nd and should find a similar race for Michael Bell.

Priti Fabulous was a big disappointment in the 8.20, clearly something amiss there.

Ostaadi was very green in defeat in the 8.50, he is an interesting prospect for the remainder of the season.

Applaud looked to hold a major form chance (on last year's efforts) at Hamilton but could only manage 3rd in the 9.10. He has clearly regressed.

Tuesday 9 June 2009

Tuesday 9th June

Redcar
3.00
Seldom 0.25pt E/W - 7th

5.15
The Last Alzao 0.5pt win - WON 10/1
Antipodean 0.25pt E/W - unplaced
Flynns Island 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

Salisbury
3.55
Cill Rialaig 0.25pt E/W - WON 10/1
Maria Di Scozia 0.25pt E/W - 7th

4.30
Secret Hero 1pt win - WON 3/1 (adv)
Royal Crest 0.25pt E/W - 7th

5.00
Cyborg 2pts win - 3rd 13/8 (adv)
Warrior Conquest 0.5pt win - 6th

All bets proofed to Racing Post

JUNE
Bets 67
Winners 25
Staked 73.5pts
Returned 93.19pts
P/L +19.69pts
Yield 27%

Seldom ran better than his formline suggests when 7th in the 3.00 at Redcar, I still think there is a handicap in him.

Ethics Girl looked woefully poor value in the 5.15 at the same meeting and thankfully I found the winner from my band of three that I opposed her with. The Last Alzao ran out a comfortable winner come the finish and there should be more to come.

Over at Salisbury Cill Rialaig benefited from a drop in trip and finally got her head in front on the flat. She had shown plenty of potential prior to this and should find more races. Maria Di Scozia ran well in 7th and should come on a bundle for this.

Secret Hero looked a blot on the handicap in the 4.30 and he won with plenty in hand. Royal Crest back in 7th ran well after getting hampered early.

Cyborg was disappointing in the 5.00, we may see him jumping eight flights this winter.

Monday 8th June

Folkstone
2.15
Triple Dream 0.25pt E/W - 5th

3.15
Sphere 0.25pt E/W - unplaced


Pontefract
8.50
Mark Of Meydan 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

9.20
First Swallow 0.5pt win - unplaced
Braille 0.25pt E/W - unplaced


Windsor
7.00
Urban Space 1pt win - 2nd

7.30
Plaisterer 0.5pt win - WON 6/1 (adv)
Rehabilitation 0.5pt win - unplaced

8.30
Falcon Rock 0.5pt win - 2nd 13/2 (adv)
Stravella 0.5pt win - 5th
Fancy Footsteps 0.5pt win - unplaced

9.00
Wotasparkler 0.5pt win - unplaced
May Martin 0.5pt win - unplaced


All bets proofed to Racing Post

Sunday 7 June 2009

Sunday 7th June

Brighton
3.00
Ivory Lace 1pt win - 3rd

Southwell
4.10
Triumphant Welcome 0.5pt win - 3rd 10/1 (adv)
Gioacchino 0.25pt E/W - WON 33/1

June
Bets 54
Winners 21
Staked 59.5pts
Returned 76.56pts
P/L +17.06pts
Yield 29%

All bets proofed to Racing Post

Ivory Lace (3rd in the 3.00 Brighton) appears to be holding form well and will find more suitable races than the one contested today.

Given that Gioacchino was likely to improve for the transistion to fibresand, he looked massively over priced for the 4.10 at Southwell. He lead from trap to line from the one box and ran out a ready 33-1 winner. I mentioned recently that Triumphant Welcome was perhaps running into form and she ran a solid race back in 3rd. She would've been closer had she not slightly slipped early on.

Saturday 6 June 2009

Saturday 6th June

Epsom
1.25
Sam Sharp 0.5pt win - unplaced
London Bridge 0.5pt win - 7th
Saa'Ida 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

4.30
Red Kestral 0.25pt E/W - unplaced
Coin Of The Realm 0.5pt win - WON 8/1 (adv)

Doncaster
2.05
Without Prejudice 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

2.35
Arrivederla 0.5pt win - 4th
Uniquely Poised 0.5pt win - 7th

3.35
King Fingal 1.5pt win - 2nd
Caerlaverock 0.5pt win - 3rd

Musselburgh
2.50
Toujours Souriante 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

5.45
Dolly Penrose 1pt win - 2nd

Lingfield
6.20
Calling Victory 0.25pt E/W - unplaced
L'Arco Balerno 0.25pt E/W - 8th

Newcastle
6.40
Danzoe 1pt win - unplaced

8.10
Grey Command 0.25pt E/W - 2nd 16/1 (adv)

8.40
Miss Keck 0.5pt E/W - WON 7/1 (adv)

June
Bets 52
Winners 20
Staked 57.5pts
Returned 65.75pts
P/L +8.25pts
Yield 16%

All bets proofed to Racing Post

Not many got into the 1.25 at Epsom and I believe some in behind are worth another chance; London Bridge, Lasso The Moon who lost ground at the start, and Sam Sharp who was travelling ok before failing to come down the hill.

Like the Oaks I couldn't find a bet in the Derby. Sea The Stars was impressive not only in victory but in the way he handled proceedings. I doubted his ability to stay the trip in this grade, but due the strange tactics of the Coolmore pacemakers, he was able to travel sweetly and more than see out the distance. He was a most comfortable winner. Two in behind ran better than their finishing positions suggest. Rip Van Winkle (4th) finished the race better than any (bar the winner) and in my opinion was the 2nd best horse in the race, and despite finishing 6th Crowded House travelled sweetly in rear and there was definite evidence of his lightning turn of foot. His challenge petered out though and there is a case for dropping him back in trip - I'm confident there is a big race in him.

Coin Of The Realm showed a liking for Epsom when carrying my money over c&d back in April. Despite an unclear passage he finished 4th that day so it was no surprise to see him step up on that with an impressive win in the 4.30. He travelled smoothly behind the leading due and won with a bit in hand. He was a recent runner-up over hurdles and its looks as though Gary Moore has another bargain on his hands. The versatile gelding changed hands for just 22,000gns in the Autumn. Red Kestral ran better than his finishing position suggests, he travelled well for a long way before being eased once beaten.

At Doncaster, Without Prejudice found the soft going against him in the 2.05.

The same can be said about Uniquely Poised in the 2.35, he looks sure to find races on better ground. Arrivederla ran ok without threatening, she didn't quite see out this longer trip.

I'm still not sure how either King Fingal or Caerlaverock failed to win the 3.35. The pair traded at 1/3 and 2/5 in-running before getting collared by Cape Colony. Both will gain compensation very soon.

In the 5.45 at Musselburgh, Dolly Penrose made up plenty of ground inside the last to eventually go down by a short head. She looks well handicapped at present and looks sure to find a race soon, she will be especially hard to beat off this mark on easy ground in this grade.

Brett Vale ran away with the 6.25 at Lingfield. He could be a typical Prescott sequence horse. L'Arco Balerno is slowly coming to hand and could figure in a small race soon. Calling Victory looks to be regressing.

Ebiayn was backed as if defeat was out the question but could only finish 3rd - the horse is clearly better thought of. Although it made little difference to the result, Richard Hills must be the only man in the country who doesn't realise that the inside is slower at Lingfield. In fact there are remote Amazonian tribes that know you cannot challenge up the far rail inside the last at Leafy. Yet our Richard tries it race in, race out.

Danzoe flopped in the 6.40 2yo maiden at Newcastle.

Grey Command put in a solid performance to finish 2nd in the 8.10. He has slipped to a fair mark and may find a race over the summer.

Miss Keck was impressive in the 8.40. Everything was in her favour and to be fair it was a victory that had looked on the cards. She has been raised 8lb for this (now 66), I still think she can be competitive.

Friday 5th June

Wolverhampton
2.00
Abu Dubai 0.5pt E/W - 5th

Epsom
2.45
Duncan 0.25pt E/W - 4th
Expresso Star 0.25pt E/W - 7th

3.25
William Blake 0.5pt win - 4th
Charm School 0.5pt win - 5th
Dream Desert 0.5pt win - 8th

Catterick
5.15
Devinius 1pt win - 4th

Doncaster
6.05
Queen Martha 0.5pt E/W - WON 7/1

7.40
Alsace Lorraine 0.25pt E/W - WON 11/2
Aflaam 0.25pt E/W - 4th 20/1

8.15
Never Ending Tale 0.25pt E/W - WON 6/1

8.40
Deauville Flyer 0.25pt E/W - WON 10/1 => 7/1

Goodwood
7.50
Beau Fighter 1pt win - 5th
Rio Guru 0.25pt E/W - 4th 20/1

June
Bets 41
Winners 17
Staked 46.5pts
Returned 54.82pts
P/L +8.32pts
Yield 18%

All bets proofed to Racing Post.

Abu Dubai looked to hold a chance at the weights in the claimer at Wolverhampton but could only finish 5th. She is becoming disappointing.

I had my eye on a few in the 3.45. Watson's Bay travelled well before finishing 3rd on his debut for his new yard. He doesn't find a lot in a finish but I imagine Paul Howling will find a race for him. Into The Light ran ok back in 5th and will be of interest when his yard are in better form. Rotative had to be rousted along in rear but ran out an impressive winner come the line, a similar performance to that of her debut win. She clearly has ability and improvement in her so there should be more to come.

The 5.00 was ran at a suicidal gallop. Colour Of Money, Lady Amberlini and Great Knight all did well considering they were at the fore of the breakneck pace.

At Epsom, Tartan Gigha secured his 3rd win of the season in the 2.10. He is a little in and out but decent his day. Even if the handicapper catches up with him for this, he has already paid his way this season.

It wasn't that surprising to see the Coronation Cup run at a modest gallop. For that reason Look Here and Duncan deserve plenty of credit for playing their part in a close finish. Duncan cope with a further hike in class and Look Here has proved she can mix it with the boys at the top level.

Dream Desert disappointed in the 3.25, he hasn't progressed as expected. Charm School ran on well to finish 5th, I expected more from him this season but this was a promising effort and I think he will come into his own on a galloping track very soon. William Blake looked unlucky in 4th, he was travelling better than most two out but was repeatedly denied a clear run when carried across the course when the front two drifted right. He is on a fair mark.

The Oaks didn't interest me from a betting point of view. Sariska, ridden by Jamie Spencer, got the better of Midday in a thrilling finish. Jamie Spencer's dangerous and illegal move just after the turn rightly landed him with a 5-day ban.

Doncaster was a pleasing meeting for me. Queen Martha (6.05) looked to have been given a reasonable chance to progress by the handicapper and defeat never looked in doubt despite being easy to back throughout the day. There could be more to come.

Henry Cecil's Invincible Isle ran well on her debut before disappointing on the A/W. She appreciated the return to turf and took the maiden at 7.10. She could be interesting in handicaps.

Alsace Lorraine took advantage of a lenient 3lb hike in the weights to make it two from two this season when landed the 7.40. Aflaam ran well back in 4th and is definitely coming to hand.

Never Ending Tale was undoubtedly well handicapped for the 8.15 but prior to this had looked a hard ride. The cheek-pieces did the trick and he recorded his first handicap win. His attitude thus far has kept him well handicapped so there could be more success now he has his head in front.

The 8.45 saw Deauville Flyer well backed. He improved for the step up to middle distances on his final maiden start and showed a likable attitude to get off the mark here. He is going the right way.

At Bath, Bramalea was a disappointing favourite. As mentioned before on this blog, she needs to be dropped to a mile.

Rio Guru ran another solid race to finish 4th in the 7.50 at Goodwood. She is on a fair mark and will find easier tasks than this. Beau Fighter was disappointing in behind but should not be written off.

Friday 5 June 2009

Thursday 4th June

Hamilton
3.40
This Ones For Eddy 0.5pt E/W - 2nd 8/1 (adv)

4.40
Atlantic Beach 2pts win - 2nd
Tangerine Trees 1pt win - WON 7/2

Lingfield
3.50
Monaco Dream 0.25pt E/W - 2nd 12/1 (adv)

4.50
Rannoch Rose 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

Sandown
7.50
Annabelle's Charm 1pt win - 4th
Miss Glitters 1pt win - 8th
Cotswolds 0.5pt win - 5th

8.55
Kidlat 0.25pt E/W - 3rd 8/1 (adv)
Shavansky 0.25pt E/W - WON (DH) 16/1 (adv)

June
Bets 32
Winners 13
Staked 37.5pts
Returned 42.49pts
P/L +4.99pts
Yield 13%

All bets proofed to Racing Post

This Ones For Eddy ran another solid race in the 3.40 at Hamilton but he was not match the better treated Mountain Cat. I still believe there is another turf race in him though.

The 4.40 was a complete match between Atlantic Beach and Tangerine Trees. Both are well handicapped and it was no surprise to see them fill the 1-2 spots. Tangerine Trees got the better of the duel late on. Atlantic Beach will surely get his head in front soon, especially if running on easier ground.

In the Lingfield maiden at 3.50, you could argue at Monaco Dream's form was the 2nd best on offer. Therefore it was no surprise to see her well backed before keeping on well for 2nd place. The odds on jolly Flame Of Gibraltar was a facile winner. Monaco Dream will be interesting now handicapping.

Although the 7.50 at Sandown was disappointing from an initial point of view, there was plenty to suggest there are more races to be won with my three selections in the race. Annabelle's Charm will benefit from stronger handling and a step back to 10f, Miss Glitters will find easier tasks and surfaces, and Cotswold wasn't knocked about in 5th.

The 8.55 was most pleasing. Kidlat ran a fine race to finish a close third, I wouldn't be surprised if connections tried him over further once again. Shavansky was over priced in the morning (16/1) and was subject to a massive gamble on-course. The maiden he won late last year at Lingfield worked out extremely well (Wine N' Dine, Annabelle's Charm and Cape Express all in behind), and he was well handicapped on that effort. There was the worry regarding his well being after a lay-off (hence the small bet), but those fears were misplaced as he travelled well and got his head down at the line to force a dead-heat.

Wednesday 3 June 2009

Wednesday 3rd June

Nottingham
2.10
Volito 0.25pt E/W - WON 14/1 (adv)

3.40
Clippity Clop 0.25pt E/W - unplaced

4.40
Burza 0.25pt E/W - 3rd 14/1 (adv)

Ayr
2.50
Ezdeyaad 0.75pt win - 2nd
Al Wasef 0.25pt win - 5th

4.20
Holoko Heights 1pt win - WON 5/2 (adv)

4.50
Cry Of Truth 0.5pt E/W - 7th

Kempton
7.20
Covert Ambition 0.5pt E/W - WON 9/2

7.50
Gold Again 2pts win - 8th

Ripon
6.40
Bobbie Soxer 1pt win - 4th

7.40
Capucci 0.5pt win - 3rd
Acrostic 0.5pt win - 4th

8.10
Merdaam 1pt win - 3rd

9.10
Herrera 0.5pt win - 6th


June
Bets 26
Winners 9
Staked 29pts
Returned 31.54ts
P/L +2.54pts
Yield 9%

Volito is a horse I'd been monitoring, it's very unusual to see Jonjo O'Neill train a 3yo sprinter and the hint had to be taken. The horse had slowly looked like he was coming to hand and he ran away with the 2.10 at Nottingham - a very impressive display.

Burza was unlucky in-running on her last start at Newmarket and it wasn't that surprising to see her well backed for the 4.40. She ran a solid race to finish 3rd. She appears on a fair mark and will find easier tasks than this.

Holoko Heights is far from straightforward but looked to hold obvious chances in the 4.20 at Ayr. He got off the mark wearing first-time cheekpieces and now he has his head in front there could be more success - he certainly has the ability to deft a grade and weight hike.

Joe Jo Star took the last as easy as he was entitled to.

Although their pattern racers have under-performed this season, Godolphin's handicappers have performed well. Covert Ambition ran away with the 0-95 at Kempton, showing a decent turn of foot. He could be anything at this stage and it will be interesting to see where he goes next.

Despite running a race full of promise on his handicap debut, Gold Again was a big disappointment in the 7.50. This was his first start for six weeks and perhaps all was not well with the horse. I will bear him in mind for a later date.

At Ripon the John Dunlop pair, Bobbie Soxer and Merdaam, appeared to run below par. The latter looked all at sea on the quick ground.

The same can be said about Herrera who was unplaced in the last, she needs a bit more juice in the ground to show her best.

Capucci and Acrostic ran promising races in the 8.10. Although it appeared that Capucci had every chance the ground may have been too lively for him, he wouldn't have to improve much on easier ground to find a race. Acrostic travelled well and didn't enjoy the clearest of passages, races to be won with him without doubt.

Tuesday 2nd June

Ripon
4.00
Hatta Diamond 1pt E/W - 6th

5.00
Fell Pack 0.5pt E/W - 5th

Southwell
2.45
Flores Sea 1pt win - 4th
Obe Royal 0.5pt win - 5th

3.15
Street Spirit 0.5pt E/W - 3rd 8/1

3.45
Avoir Choisi 0.5pt win - unplaced
Fortunate Flame 0.5pt win - 5th

Folkstone
6.20
Bold Tie 1pt win - 5th

6.50
Mudaaraah 2pts win - WON 3/1

7.50
Monaadeema 2pts win - WON 10/11

All bets proofed to Racing Post

Hatta Diamond was never travelling in the 4.00 at Ripon, a puzzling effort.

The 5.00 was run at a farcical pace which didn't suit Fell Pack.

In the Southwell claimer at 2.45, Flores Sea was positioned wide throughout, although that was not the reason for his defeat. Obe Royal lost his chance at the start under his apprentice rider (jockey change).

Street Spirit looked well handicapped on his debut 2nd at Catterick and ran a cracker to finish 3rd on his handicap debut in the 3.15. He looked to have no chance after finding himself well out the rear after fly-jumping out the stalls. He made up plenty of ground and was going on at the finish. He looks sure to win off this mark and will ideally be tried over further next time out.

Avoir Choisi clearly didn't act on the surface in the 3.45. Fortunate Flame ran ok in 5th and can be competitive in the right grade.

A decent card at Folkstone. Bold Tie (6.20) stumbled slightly around the two pole and wasn't knocked about thereafter. He looks on a fair mark and could pay his way in sprint handicaps this season.

The beautifully bred Mudaaraah was impressive in the 6.50 and she could be decent.

Only fitness could beat Monaadema off her mark of 72 and she landed the odds comfortably enough. It looks as though she will improve for this and there is undoubtedly more to come.

Monday 1 June 2009

Monday 1st June

Carlisle
2.45
Shaylee 0.5pt E/W - 3rd 10/1 (adv) => 7/2

3.15
Off Chance 1pt win - WON 4/1 => 11/4

3.45
Half A Crown 0.75pt E/W - unplaced

Thirsk
7.40
Seldom 0.5pt E/W - unplaced

8.40
La Zamora 1pt win - 5th

Windsor
6.55
Sullenberger 0.25pt E/W - 7th 25/1
Saturn Way 0.5pt win - unplaced

All bets proofed to Racing Post

Level or thereabouts today, depending on prices taken.

Based on official ratings, Shaylee had it to do in the Carlisle claimer and 2.45. However I wasn't certain how reliable many of the OR's were and thought she was over priced at double figure odds. She came off the bit fairly early but stayed on well late on for a place. She should find a race over slightly further.

Off Chance's last run at York was best ignored and hated the soft ground. Back on a faster surface here she made her lenient handicap mark pay. She was value for more than the winning margin suggests.

In the sprint at 3.45, Half A Crown lost all when hampered twice in the first two furlongs.

Secret Society ran away with the 7.40 at Thirsk, benefiting for the drop in trip. Seldom never looked happy and failed to act on the turns and/or the firm going.

La Zamora got no run in the 8.40. She would have gone close with a clear run and looks on a fair mark.

Saturn Way was heavily eased after getting slightly hampered in the 6.55 at Windsor. Sullenberger ran with promise on his first start for over two months, there are races to be won with him. Howard (4th) ran his best race to date and will start to fulfill his potential now.

Gloucester took advantage of a lenient flat rating in the last.