Tuesday 21st April

Kempton
2.20
Bromhead 1pt win - 4th

3.50
Planetary Motion 1.5pts win - 4th
Hendersyde 1pt win - WON 3/1

Southwell
2.40
If Only 0.5pt E/W - 4th

Folkstone
4.30
Isabelonabicycle 0.5pt win - WON 10/1 => 8/1
Tobago Bay 0.5pt win- 2nd
Dayia 0.5pt win - 3rd

5.35
Hatta Diamond 1pt win - 6th

Another profitable day (+1.5pts). At Kempton Bromhead sweated beforehand and was given no chance in the race due to an over aggressive ride by Ryan Moore. It's extremely difficult to kick 5l clear 6f from home on polytrack and win, he was a sitting duck for his rivals and this run is best ignored.

Hendersyde did well to get up over an inadequate trip and looks set for a good season over 1m6f+. Planetary Motion didn't improve on his flop last time out despite a return to a small field on polytrack - a disappointing effort.

If Only was an agonising loser at Southwell, he was beaten little over 0.5l, finishing 4th. It was a decent effort given he was forced to challenge on the inside for the entire straight and the fact he missed out on the places after a such a run was hard to take.

In the staying handicap at Folkstone (4.50) I was pretty confident of finding the winner with my three horse split stakes bet. The confidence was justified as the selections finished 1-2-3 resulting in a 169/1 T/C. Isabelonabicycle looked certain to improve for the step up to 2m and as she wasn't disgraced over shorter behind the decent Buddhist Monk and El Bravo previously, she looked potentially well treated. Improve she did, knuckling down to her task well to get up by a head, she is capable of more improvement. Tobago Bay had a fine first season over hurdles and looked well treated off a mark of 56 (rated in the 130's over hurdles) on his return to the level. He was only narrowly beaten by the winner here and it's likely he ran into a well treated rival. If the handicapper is fair with his inevitable reassessment then he looks sure to gain compensation. Dayia ran a solid race in 3rd, she wasn't as well treated as the first two home so it was a gallant effort. She can win more races.

Hatta Diamond didn't see out the 10f in the 5.35.


Will keep records of N.H. and A/W bets since the blog started, alongside the full Flat (turf) record...

Combined
Bets 68
Winners 24
P/L +20.46
ROI 25%

All-Weather
Bets 20
Winners 8
P/L +11.22pts
ROI 48%

Flat (turf) 2009
Bets 43
Winners 13
P/L +1.69pts
ROI 3%

National Hunt
Bets 5
Winners 3
P/L +7.55pts
ROI 168%

All bets proofed to the Racing Post